uptrend-analyzer
Analyzes market breadth using Monty's Uptrend Ratio Dashboard data to diagnose the current market environment. Generates a 0-100 composite score from 5 components (breadth, sector participation, rotation, momentum, historical context). Use when asking about market breadth, uptrend ratios, or whether
By tradermonty · 2,145 installs
npx skills add tradermonty/claude-trading-skills --skill uptrend-analyzer
Source repository · Upstream listing
Uptrend Analyzer Skill
Purpose
Diagnose market breadth health using Monty's Uptrend Ratio Dashboard, which tracks ~2,800 US stocks across 11 sectors. Generates a 0 100 composite score (higher = healthier) with exposure guidance.
Unlike the Market Top Detector (API based risk scorer), this skill uses free CSV data to assess "participation breadth" whether the market's advance is broad or narrow.
When to Use This Skill
English:
User asks "Is the market breadth healthy?" or "How broad is the rally?"
User wants to assess uptrend ratios across sectors
User asks about market participation or breadth conditions
User needs exposure guidance based on breadth analysis
User references Monty's Uptrend Dashboard or uptrend ratios
Japanese:
「市場のブレドスは健全?」「上昇の裾野は広い?」
セクター別のアップトレンド比率を確認したい
相場参加率・ブレドス状況を診断したい
ブレドス分析に基づくエクスポージャーガイダンスが欲しい
Montyのアップトレンドダッシュボードについて質問
Prerequisites
Python 3.9+ with the requests library (CSV parsing uses the stdlib csv / io modules)
Internet connection to fetch CSV data from GitHub (no API key required)
No paid API subscriptions needed
Difference from Market Top Detector
Aspect Uptrend Analyzer Market Top Detector
Score Direction Higher = healthier Higher = riskier
Data Source Free GitHub CSV FMP API (paid)
Focus Breadth participation Top formation risk
API Key Not required Required (FMP)
Methodology Monty Uptrend Ratios O'Neil/Minervini/Monty
Execution Workflow
Phase 1: Execute Python Script
Run the analysis script (no API key needed):
The script will:
1. Download CSV data from Monty's GitHub repository
2. Calculate 5 component scores
3. Generate composite score and reports
Phase 2: Present Results
Present the generated Markdown report to the user, highlighting:
Composite score and zone classification
Exposure guidance (Full/Normal/Reduced/Defensive/Preservation)
Sector heatmap showing strongest and weakest sectors
Key momentum and rotation signals
5 Component Scoring System
Component Weight Key Signal
1 Market Breadth (Overall) 30% Ratio level + trend direction
2 Sector Participation 25% Uptrend sector count + ratio spread
3 Sector Rotation 15% Cyclical vs Defensive balance
4 Momentum 20% Slope direction + acceleration
5 Historical Context 10% Percentile rank in history
Scoring Zones
Score Zone Exposure Guidance
80 100 Strong Bull Full Exposure (100%)
60 79 Bull Normal Exposure (80 100%)
40 59 Neutral Reduced Exposure (60 80%)
20 39 Cautious Defensive (30 60%)
0 19 Bear Capital Preservation (0 30%)
7 Level Zone Detail
Each scoring zone is further divided into sub zones for finer grained assessment:
Score Zone Detail Color
80 100 Strong Bull Green
70 79 Bull Upper Light Green
60 69 Bull Lower Light Green
40 59 Neutral Yellow
30 39 Cautious Upper Orange
20 29 Cautious Lower Orange
0 19 Bear Red
Warning System
Active warnings trigger exposure penalties that tighten guidance even when the composite score is high:
Warning Condition Penalty
Late Cycle Commodity avg both Cyclical and Defensive 5
High Spread Max min sector ratio spread 40pp 3
Divergence Intra group std 8pp, spread 20pp, or trend dissenters 3
Penalties stack (max 10) + multi warning discount (+1 when ≥2 active). Applied after composite scoring.
Momentum Smoothing
Slope values are smoothed using EMA(3) (Exponential Moving Average, span=3) before scoring. Acceleration is calculated by comparing the recent 10 point average vs prior 10 point average of smoothed slopes (10v10 window), with fallback to 5v5 when fewer than 20 data points are available.
Historical Confidence Indicator
The Historical Context component includes a confidence assessment based on:
Sample size: Number of historical data points available
Regime coverage: Proportion of distinct market regimes (bull/bear/neutral) observed
Recency: How recent the latest data point is
Confidence levels: High, Medium, Low.
API Requirements
Required: None (uses free GitHub CSV data)
Output Files
JSON: uptrend analysis YYYY MM DD HHMMSS.json
Markdown: uptrend analysis YYYY MM DD HHMMSS.md
Reference Documents
references/uptrend methodology.md
Uptrend Ratio definition and thresholds
5 component scoring methodology
Sector classification (Cyclical/Defensive/Commodity)
Historical calibration notes
When to Load References
First use: Load uptrend methodology.md for full framework understanding
Regular execution: References not needed script handles scoring