Trump Code — Market Signal Analysis Skill by [ara.so](https://ara.so) — Daily 2026 Skills collection. Trump Code is an open source system that applies brute force computation to find statistically significant patterns between Trump's Truth Social/X posting behavior and S&P 500 movements. It has tested 31.5M model combinations, maintains 551 surviving rules, and has a verified 61.3% hit rate across 566 predictions (z=5.39, p<0.05). Installation Environment Variables CLI — Key Commands Core Scripts REST API (Live at trumpcode.washinmura.jp) AI Chatbot API MCP Server (Claude Code / Cursor Integration) Add to ~/.claude/settings.json : Available MCP tools: signals , models , predict , arbitrage , health , events , dual platform , crowd , full report Open Data Files All data lives in data/ and is updated daily: Download Data via API Real Code Examples Parse Today's Signals Find Top Performing Rules from Surviving Rules Check Prediction Market Opportunities Correlate Post Features with Returns Run a Backtest on a Custom Signal Key Signal Types Signal Description Typical Impact RELIEF pre market "Relief" language before 9:30 AM Avg +1.12% same day TARIFF market hours Tariff mention during trading Avg 0.758% next day DEAL Deal/agreement language 52.2% hit rate CHINA (Truth Social only) China mentions (never on X) 1.5× weight boost SILENCE Zero post day 80% bullish, avg +0.409% Burst → silence Rapid posting then goes quiet 65.3% LONG signal Model Reference Model Strategy Hit Rate Avg Return A3 Pre market RELIEF → surge 72.7% +1.206% D3 Volume spike → panic bottom 70.2% +0.306% D2 Signature switch → formal statement 70.0% +0.472% C1 Burst → long silence → LONG 65.3% +0.145% C3 ⚠️ Late night tariff (anti indicator) 37.5% −0.414% Note: C3 is an anti indicator — if it fires, the circuit breaker auto inverts it to LONG (62% accuracy after inversion). System Architecture Flow Troubleshooting realtime loop.py not detecting new posts Check your network access to Truth Social scraper endpoints Verify data/trump posts all.json timestamp is recent Run python3 trump code cli.py health to see circuit breaker state chatbot server.py fails to start Ensure GEMINI KEYS env var is set: export GEMINI KEYS="key1,key2" Port 8888 may be in use: lsof i :8888 overnight search.py runs out of memory Runs ~31.5M combinations — needs ~4GB RAM Run on a machine with 8GB+ or reduce search space in script config Hit rate dropping below 55% Check data/circuit breaker state.json — system may have auto paused Review data/learning report.json for demoted rules Re run overnight search.py to refresh surviving rules Stale data in data/ directory Daily pipeline syncs to GitHub automatically if running Manually trigger: python3 trump code cli.py report to force refresh Or pull latest from remote: git pull origin main

trump-code-market-signals